WTC Final RACE – India qualification scenario: This year, reaching the World Test Championship Final is India's BIG TARGET in the sport of cricket. India's future in the World Cup will be decided by the Australia vs. India Test Series in February. Australia has already built a foothold in the FINAL. India will be the front-runner to join them, but to do so, India must at the very least DRAW the four-match TEST Series.
Can India Qualify for WTC FINAL?
India's prospects of earning a spot in its second straight World Test Championship (WTC) final have improved as a result of South Africa's loss to Australia in the second Test at Melbourne.
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With a PCT (percentage of points won) of 50, the Proteas have dropped to fourth place, while Australia has maintained its lead with a PCT of 78.57. India, however, is comfortably in second place with a PCT of 58.93 after winning the series 2-0 against Bangladesh.
World Test Championship 2021-23 Points Table
| Team | Matches | Won | Lost | Drawn | Points | PCT |
| Australia | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 132 | 78.57 |
| India | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 99 | 58.93 |
| Sri Lanka | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 64 | 53.33 |
| South Africa | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 72 | 50.00 |
| England | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 124 | 46.97 |
| West Indies | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 54 | 40.91 |
| Pakistan | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 60 | 38.46 |
| New Zealand | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 26.67 |
| Bangladesh | 12 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 16 | 11.11 |
AUSTRALIA QUALIFICATION SCENARIO
Australia still has five tests to play (one vs South Africa and four vs India). If it triumphs in each of its last five games, it may raise its PCT to a maximum of 84.21. With a PCT of 68.42, the Pat Cummins-led team would be in first place even if it loses the four-match series versus India 0-1 after defeating South Africa in the third and final Test. Australia would still be in strong shape to get to the finals with a PCT of 66.66 even after losing to India 0–2.
INDIA QUALIFICATION SCENARIO
- With four home Tests left against Australia, India can take its PCT tally to as much as 68.05.
- Even a 3-1 win against Australia will be enough as it will have a PCT of 62.5, higher than what South Africa and Sri Lanka can manage even if they win all their games.
- A 2-2 draw would also work for India (PCT 56.94), as South Africa would need to beat Australia in the third Test and sweep West Indies 2-0 at home (PCT 60.00) to upstage India.
- Sri Lanka would require a 2-0 win against New Zealand away to go past both South Africa and India with a PCT of 61.11.
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Sri Lanka QUALIFICATION SCENARIO
Sri Lanka scored 53.33 percent of the points. New Zealand (away, two Tests) is the last series. The best outcome percentage is 61.11%.
Sri Lanka has benefited greatly from recent Tests; even without having to play a game, their prospects of making their debut in the World Test Championship final have increased.
In order for Sri Lanka to have any chance of appearing in the final, they will still need to win every single one of their remaining Test matches between now and next year's final.
Only one series, a two-Test journey to New Zealand in March, where they have only succeeded twice in 19 attempts, remained for Sri Lanka.
They would need 61.1% of the possible points in New Zealand, so they'll be hoping Australia can keep winning and sneak into second position with two victories against the Kiwis.
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