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WTC 2023-25: Which two teams out of 9 can make it to the finals

By Rohit - August 22, 2024
Last updated on Aug 23, 2024 12:38 AM
WTC 2023-25: Which two teams out of 9 can make it to the finals

The world of cricket has shifted its focus from the limited-overs format to the traditional Test match. Following the conclusion of the T20 World Cup, where India emerged victorious, teams have been gearing up for their red-ball challenges.

The action kicked off with England dominating West Indies at home. However, West Indies struggled to find their rhythm, losing a Test series to South Africa on their own soil. Meanwhile, Bangladesh faced political uncertainty, casting doubt on their tour to Pakistan. Despite these challenges, Bangladesh remained committed to playing Test cricket away from home.

World Test Championship 2023-25 Points table

Pos Team Played Won Lost Draw Ded Points PCT
1 India (IND) 9 6 2 1 2 74 68.52
2 Australia (AUS) 12 8 3 1 10 90 62.50
3 New Zealand (NZ) 6 3 3 0 0 36 50.00
4 Sri Lanka (SL) 4 2 2 0 0 24 50.00
5 South Africa (SA) 6 2 3 1 0 28 38.89
6 Pakistan (PAK) 5 2 3 0 2 22 36.66
7 England (ENG) 13 6 6 1 19 57 36.54
8 Bangladesh (BAN) 4 1 3 0 0 12 25.00
9 West Indies (WI) 9 1 6 2 0 20 18.52

As cricket fans eagerly anticipate the outcome, the question remains: What do the major Test-playing nations need to do to secure their place in the WTC Final? Let's explore the possibilities.

India - win percentage of 68.52%

india chances into wtc 2023-25 finals

The Indian cricket team currently sits atop the World Test Championship (WTC) points table with an impressive win percentage of 68.52%. However, their path to securing a spot in the WTC Final remains challenging.

With 10 Tests left to play, including five at home against Bangladesh and New Zealand and five in Australia, India has 120 points up for grabs. To maintain their top position, they need to earn an additional 63 points.

It's worth noting that the last time India qualified for the WTC Final, their win percentage was lower at 58.8%. Therefore, maintaining their current form is crucial for securing a place in the championship match.

Australia - win percentage of 62.50%

australia chances into wtc 2023-25 finals

The defending champions, Australia, are eager to redeem themselves against India after their convincing defeat in the previous World Test Championship Final. While they have maintained a strong record in Test cricket, their recent Ashes series against England highlighted some vulnerabilities.

Despite retaining the Ashes, Australia's home loss to India remains a sore point. With their upcoming tour of India, the Aussies have an opportunity to rectify this and improve their position in the WTC standings.

Currently, in second place with a win percentage exceeding 60, Australia needs to earn at least 47 points from their remaining seven Tests to secure a top-two finish. This means they need to win at least three matches or four for a stronger position. Even three draws could suffice, depending on other teams' results.

Following their India tour, Australia will face Sri Lanka in two away Tests. Success in these matches will be crucial for their WTC Final aspirations.

New Zealand - win percentage of 50.0%

new zealand chances into wtc 2023-25 finals

New Zealand, considered dark horses in the WTC race, have faced a mixed bag of results in their six matches so far. With a win percentage of 50, they have tasted both victory and defeat.

However, their path to the WTC Final remains challenging. With eight Tests left, including three against India in New Zealand, they need to accumulate at least 65 points out of a possible 96.

While two away Tests against Sri Lanka are on the horizon, New Zealand will also have three home Tests against England. To qualify for the WTC Final, they need to win at least five matches, and a few draws won't significantly harm their chances.

Sri Lanka - win percentage of 50.0%

sri lanka chances into wtc 2023-25 finals

Sri Lanka, currently touring England, have a similar win percentage to New Zealand but have played fewer matches. With nine Tests remaining, they have a maximum of 108 points to earn.

To stay in contention for the WTC Final, Sri Lanka needs to secure at least 60 points. This means they need to perform well in their upcoming series against England and South Africa, aiming to win five or six matches. Even with a few draws, three tied matches could be sufficient for their qualification hopes.

South Africa - win percentage of 38.89%

south africa chances into wtc 2023-25 finals

South Africa has been in strong form, recently defeating West Indies away from home. However, their limited number of fixtures in the current World Test Championship cycle presents a significant challenge. With only 12 matches compared to England's 22, South Africa faces a tougher road to the WTC Final.

To secure their place in the championship, South Africa needs to win at least five of their six remaining matches. This will give them the minimum required 59 points. The good news is that only two of these matches are away from home, against Bangladesh. The remaining games will be played in South Africa, where they can capitalize on home conditions to reach the 60% win percentage needed for qualification.

Also Read: India Women tour of England 2025: T20 and ODI schedule, date, venues

Pakistan - win percentage of 36.66%

pakistan chances into wtc 2023-25 finals

Pakistan is well-positioned to finish in the top two of the WTC points table. With seven of their remaining nine matches to be played at home, they have a significant advantage. After facing Sri Lanka and Australia away, Pakistan will host Bangladesh, England, and West Indies.

With 108 points available, Pakistan needs to earn 79 points to qualify for the WTC Final. This means winning six matches and potentially benefiting from a few draws. Their home advantage will be crucial in achieving this goal.

England - win percentage of 36.54%

england chances into wtc 2023-25 finals

England's innovative "Bazball" approach to Test cricket has captivated the world, but results have been mixed. The team's slow over-rate offense has also hindered their progress, resulting in a deduction of 19 points.

With a current win percentage of 36.54%, England faces an uphill battle to qualify for the WTC Final. They have nine matches remaining and need to earn 102 points out of a possible 108 to secure a top-two finish. This requires winning eight matches and drawing one.

The road to the WTC Final is challenging for England, but with their aggressive style of play, they have a fighting chance.

Bangladesh - win percentage of 25.00%

bangladesh chances into wtc 2023-25 finals

Amidst political instability, Bangladesh aims to make a statement in Pakistan. However, their path to the WTC Final is challenging, with six of their eight remaining matches being played away from home.

To qualify, Bangladesh needs to earn 75 points out of a possible 96. This means winning at least six matches and potentially benefiting from a few draws. Their success against Pakistan, India, and West Indies will be crucial in their quest for a surprising WTC Final appearance.

West Indies - win percentage of 18.52%

west indies chances into wtc 2023-25 finals

Once a dominant force in Test cricket, West Indies have faced challenges in transitioning to a new generation of players. Despite promising young talent, their on-field performances in the current WTC cycle have been underwhelming. They currently sit at the bottom of the points table with the lowest win percentage.

With four Tests remaining, including two at home and two away, West Indies' chances of qualifying for the WTC Final are slim. They have only managed to earn 20 points out of a possible 108, making it virtually impossible to reach the top two even if they win all their remaining matches. Their win percentage would only increase to slightly over 43%, which is insufficient for qualification.

Also Read: IND vs ENG Test Series 2025 schedule, dates, venues

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