The World Test Championship (WTC) 2023-25 cycle has reached a crucial phase with significant movements in the points table after the recently concluded series between Sri Lanka and New Zealand and India and Bangladesh. With each team eyeing a spot in the WTC 2025 final, the path to qualification is becoming clearer—but also more difficult for some teams. This article will give you a detailed look at the current rankings, team standings, and what each team needs to do to qualify for the final, along with updated WTC final qualification chances.
| # | Team | Played | Won | Lost | Tie | NR | PCT | Points | Recent Forms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Africa | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 63.33 | 64 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Australia | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 58.89 | 106 | DWLWW |
| 3 | India | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 55.89 | 114 | DLWLL |
| 4 | New Zealand | 14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 48.21 | 81 | WLLWW |
| 5 | Sri Lanka | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 45.45 | 60 | LLWWW |
| 6 | England | 22 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 43.18 | 60 | LWWLL |
| 7 | Bangladesh | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 34.38 | 33 | LWWLL |
| 8 | West Indies | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 24.24 | 32 | LWLDL |
| 9 | Pakistan | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19.5 | 16 | LLLLL |
| Recent Forms: W = Won, L = Lost, T = Tie, D = Draw, NR = No Result | |||||||||
Team India, led by Rohit Sharma, continues to dominate the WTC points table with an impressive 81% points, making them strong contenders for a third consecutive WTC final. After their recent series win over Bangladesh, India only needs to win three out of their remaining eight Test matches to secure their spot in the final at Lord’s.
With a solid home advantage against New Zealand and the upcoming away series in Australia, India is poised to continue their dominance. Their qualification chances for the WTC 2025 final are currently at 81%, and they are well on track to finish in the top two.
Wins required from 8 matches: 3
Australia also sits comfortably with 81% points on the WTC points table, alongside India. The Aussies have a slightly more challenging road ahead, as they need to win four out of their remaining seven Test matches. Their five-match series against India will be the deciding factor, with Australia keen to finally break their home series drought against India.
Australia's qualification chances stand at 81%, and they are likely to maintain their place in the top two if they can perform well against India and Sri Lanka.
Wins required from 7 matches: 4
Sri Lanka faces a steep climb despite some strong performances, most notably the win over New Zealand. However, with a current standing of just 9% chance of qualification, they will need to win almost every match from here to keep their hopes alive. Sri Lanka’s main strength has been their home advantage, but tough away fixtures await.
Their chances of qualification are slim, especially with South Africa and Australia posing major challenges. Sri Lanka will need to win three out of their four remaining matches to have any hope.
Wins required from 4 matches: 3
WTC qualification chances: 9%
New Zealand's path to the WTC 2025 final has become increasingly difficult after suffering back-to-back losses. They now have just 0.5% chance of qualifying, making their road to the final almost impossible. The Black Caps need to win all six of their remaining matches.
New Zealand needs to bring their best performance against tough opponents like India and England. While the odds are stacked against them, their performances in home conditions could give them a slight advantage.
Wins required from 6 matches: 6
WTC qualification chances: 0.5%
South Africa is still in the running with a 28% chance of making the WTC final. With some favorable home fixtures ahead, the Proteas will need to be almost perfect to make it to Lord's. They need to win five of their six remaining Test matches.
South Africa’s qualification scenario is a bit tougher because they need to overshoot 60% due to their lack of head-to-head fixtures against either India or Australia. This makes their remaining matches critical.
Wins required from 6 matches: 5
WTC qualification chances: 28%
England's WTC 2025 final chances have dwindled to a mere 1%, making it highly unlikely that the Three Lions will qualify. They need to win all six of their remaining matches, including away series against Pakistan and New Zealand.
Given the tough conditions of playing away from home, especially in Pakistan and New Zealand, England’s hopes are hanging by a thread.
Wins required from 6 matches: 6
WTC qualification chances: 1%
Bangladesh has seen their WTC 2025 final dreams nearly disappear after suffering a clean sweep at the hands of India. With only four matches remaining, their qualification chances are now at just 0.1%.
For Bangladesh to have any chance at qualification, they must win all four of their remaining matches—a difficult task given their recent form.
Wins required from 6 matches: 5
WTC qualification chances: 0.1%
Pakistan finds itself in a precarious position with a slim 0.02% chance of making the WTC 2025 final. To qualify, they must win all seven of their remaining matches, a nearly impossible feat given the current form of their team and the strength of their upcoming opponents.
The road ahead for Pakistan is incredibly tough, and their chances of qualifying are extremely slim unless they pull off a series of miracles.
Wins required from 7 matches: 7
WTC qualification chances: 0.02%
For most teams, the cutoff for WTC final qualification is set at 58.5%. However, teams like South Africa, who don’t have matches against either India or Australia, need to achieve more than 60% to keep themselves in contention for the final. This makes their upcoming matches even more critical as they try to overshoot the cutoff percentage.
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