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Today's India vs England Test match is at a very exciting juncture. By the end of the fourth day's play, England had scored 21 runs without loss while chasing the target of 371 runs given by India. They still have to score 350 runs to win, while India need 10 wickets to win.
It is difficult to say who will win today as the match is in a very exciting situation and all four results (India win, England win, draw) are possible.
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India's chances of winning: India has a great bowler like Jasprit Bumrah, and if the Indian bowlers are successful in taking early wickets, then the pressure on England will increase. The pitch of Leeds has also started breaking on the fifth day, which can help the spinners. If Bumrah and the rest of the bowlers perform well together, then India can win the match.
England's chances of winning: England are known for playing aggressive cricket in a "badgeball" style, and they are capable of chasing big targets. They have chased 350+ runs in the past. If their batsmen stick around and score runs at a fast pace, they can achieve the target.
Chances of a draw: The weather can also play a key role. If it rains and the game is interrupted, the chances of a draw increase. Some experts, such as Michael Vaughan, have also predicted a draw.
Also Read: IND vs ENG: Will England be able to chase 350 runs on the last day? See records
Yes, England can chase the runs on the final day, but it will be very difficult.
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Challenging target: A target of 350 runs is very challenging to achieve in the fourth innings in Test cricket.
Pitch condition: The pitch may open up cracks on the fifth day, which will help Indian spinners (such as Ravindra Jadeja). There may also be a chance of reverse swing for the fast bowlers.
Pressure: There is a huge pressure on the team batting on the final day.
However, England have pulled off big run chases in the past. The highest ever successful run chase at Headingley is 404 runs by Australia against England in 1948, and England chased 359 against Australia in 2019. So, they can make the impossible possible.
It will be interesting to see which team takes hold of this match. All eyes will be on Jasprit Bumrah, and England batsmen will have to face Bumrah with caution. If India get wickets from bowlers other than Bumrah, it will become very difficult for England to achieve the target.
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