Some very exciting matches were played during the league stage in the T20 World Cup 2024. Many upsets were also seen during the group round. This has made the battle to reach the Super-8 very interesting. Now there are some big teams in every group, who will have to depend on other teams. Big teams like Pakistan, New Zealand and defending champions England are struggling to qualify directly for the Super-8. If these teams are out of the group stage, then they will be in danger of playing in the qualifying round before the next T20 World Cup. Let's see what are the chances of some of the troubled teams reaching the Super Eight.
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Pakistan's win against Canada has certainly boosted their chances of qualifying. However, they are still dependent on other results. Their net run rate has now become 0.191, which means if they beat Ireland and if USA loses their next two matches, they will easily qualify. This is because Pakistan needs to win by very few runs to beat USA's net run rate.
Suppose if the other two teams (India-Ireland) bat first and score 140 against USA. After this, if USA loses both the matches by even 10 runs, then Pakistan's win over Ireland by any margin will be enough. However, only if Pakistan scores at least 112 runs against Ireland, this result will be in their favour. A score lower than this will be a threat for them. Pakistan's next match is against Ireland in Lauderhill, Florida. In such a situation, the worry for Pakistan is not the opposition team, but the weather there. Rain is likely throughout this week in Lauderhill.
If America loses both its matches and Pakistan's last match is washed out due to rain, then the Babar Azam-led team will be out before reaching the Super-8. If any match of the American team is washed out and it gets a point and then even if the Pakistan team wins the next match, the result will not be of any use to them. America will have five points and Pakistan's team will remain at four points. India's net run rate is quite high. Only a big margin defeat in the remaining two matches can eliminate the team. Team India has to play the next two matches against a team which is on paper very weak in comparison to itself. In such a situation, Team India's reaching the Super Eight is considered certain.
Team | Match | Win | Loss | Drawn | Points | Net Runs Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
India | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +1.455 |
America | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +0.626 |
Pakistan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +0.191 |
Canada | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -0.493 |
Ireland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1.712 |
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New Zealand not only lost against Afghanistan but were beaten by 84 runs. This has worsened their net run rate to -4.2. Afghanistan have won their two matches so far by a margin of 209 runs, making their run rate +5.225. Both West Indies and Afghanistan have beaten Uganda by more than 120 runs. Now New Zealand will have to do the same.
However, before that they will have to beat West Indies on Wednesday, which is a knockout match for them. If they lose, West Indies will qualify with six points and Afghanistan will become the first choice to qualify for the Super Eight with a win over PNG the next day. If this happens, New Zealand's last two matches against Uganda and PNG on Saturday and Monday will not matter.
Team | Match | Win | Loss | Drawn | Points | Net Run Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Afghanistan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +5.225 |
West Indies | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +3.574 |
Uganda | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -4.217 |
Papua New Guinea | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -0.434 |
New Zealand | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.200 |
Also Read: Captains who have lost the most matches in T20I cricket
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Like Group A, one team in Group B, Australia, is in the driver's seat. The team has already qualified for the Super Eights. While England's situation is similar to Pakistan. They need to win their last two matches and hope that Scotland loses their last game against Australia on June 15. It is a bit difficult for England to reach the Super Eights. However, they also have a big problem with net run rate. Scotland's net run rate is 2.164.
The win against Oman with 41 balls to spare put them in a strong position. On the other hand, England's net run rate is -1.8. If Scotland lose their next match against Australia by 20 runs (say chasing 161 runs), England will have to win against Oman and Namibia by a combined margin of 94 runs to go ahead of Scotland in terms of run rate. Most importantly, England will be praying for clear weather. They suffered a lot when the match against Scotland was washed out due to rain. Now even a single match washed out due to rain will knock England out of the World Cup.
Team | Match | Win | Loss | Drawn | Points | Net Run Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Australia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | +3.580 |
Scotland | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +2.164 |
Namibia(E) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2.098 |
England | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1.800 |
Oman(E) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -1.613 |
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