The Rajasthan Royals (RR), once a dominant force in the IPL, are now struggling to keep their playoff hopes alive in IPL 2025. After a strong run from 2022 to 2024, including a finals appearance in 2022, the Royals have faltered this season due to a revamped squad that lacks the experience and firepower of previous years.
With just two wins in eight matches, RR are languishing near the bottom of the points table. Their Net Run Rate (NRR) of -0.633 further complicates matters, meaning they not only need to win their remaining matches but also do so convincingly to boost their NRR.
Remaining Fixtures & Key Challenges
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Difficulty |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr (Today) | Royal Challengers Bengaluru | Bengaluru | High |
| 28 Apr | Gujarat Titans | Jaipur | High |
| 01 May | Mumbai Indians | Jaipur | Very High |
| 04 May | Kolkata Knight Riders | Kolkata | High |
| 12 May | Chennai Super Kings | Chennai | Moderate |
| 16 May | Punjab Kings | Jaipur | Moderate |
Key Obstacles:
- RCB, GT, MI, and KKR are all in strong form, making wins difficult.
- Mumbai Indians are on a four-match winning streak.
- RCB has improved drastically after a poor start.
- GT has historically been a tough opponent for RR.
- KKR and CSK are strong contenders for the title.
What RR Needs to Do to Qualify?
To have any chance of making the playoffs, RR must:
- Win at least 5 out of their remaining 6 matches.
- Improve their NRR significantly by winning big in a few games.
- Hope other mid-table teams (PBKS, SRH, LSG) lose key matches to keep RR in contention.
AI Predictions & Probability
Based on current form, remaining fixtures, and historical performances, AI models suggest:
- Probability of RR winning 5 out of 6 matches: ~15%
- Probability of RR making playoffs even with 5 wins: ~25% (due to NRR and other teams' results)
- Overall playoff chances: ~10-15%
Conclusion: A Near-Impossible Task
While mathematically possible, RR's playoff hopes are hanging by a thread. Their inconsistent batting, weakened bowling attack, and tough upcoming fixtures make qualification highly unlikely. If they pull off a miracle, it would be one of the greatest comebacks in IPL history.
For now, RR fans must hope for a dramatic turnaround—starting with a win against RCB tonight. Otherwise, their IPL 2025 campaign could be over sooner than expected.
Also Read: IPL RCB vs RR: Virat Kohli Stats & Records Against RR
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